Alianza vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
BAL
1 - 0
ALI
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
ALI
4 - 2
CDD
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
MET
0 - 0
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
ALI
0 - 1
FIR
55%
22%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
ALI
0 - 4
FAS
54%
23%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
MUN
0 - 0
FAS
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
FAS
1 - 1
BAL
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
CDD
0 - 1
FAS
17%
24%
60%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
FAS
2 - 1
MET
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
ALI
0 - 4
FAS
54%
23%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |