Alianza vs Cacahuatique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 2
ALI
9%
15%
76%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ONC
0 - 2
ALI
26%
28%
46%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ALI
1 - 0
MET
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
FUE
1 - 0
ALI
27%
28%
46%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ALI
0 - 1
AGU
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 2
ALI
9%
15%
76%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 1
FIR
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
FAS
1 - 2
CDC
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
CDD
1 - 2
CDC
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
CDP
2 - 0
CDC
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |