Alianza vs Cacahuatique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
6º
3º
27
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MUN
1 - 4
ALI
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
MET
0 - 0
ALI
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 1
MET
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 0
CDP
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
FAS
4 - 1
ALI
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CDC
0 - 0
AGU
25%
29%
46%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
FUE
3 - 2
CDC
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 1
ONC
5%
10%
85%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
ONC
1 - 1
CDC
71%
19%
11%
|
37 | 71 | 34 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 1
MUN
5%
11%
85%
|
37 | 69 | 32 | 0 |