Alianza vs CD Águila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
UES
1 - 3
ALI
19%
25%
56%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FIR
0 - 3
ALI
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 2
ATL
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
MET
39%
25%
35%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FAS
3 - 1
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 1
FIR
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 0
MET
27%
25%
49%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 1
AGU
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 0
CDD
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
UES
2 - 1
AGU
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |