Alianza Universidad vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
74.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
AUN
0 - 4
UNI
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
AUN
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
AUN
0 - 3
MUN
40%
27%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
UTC
1 - 0
AUN
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
AUN
1 - 1
SAM
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 3
MAN
71%
19%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
UTC
1 - 6
SPC
19%
23%
57%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SPC
5 - 2
ALI
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 1
SAM
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 1
SPC
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |