Alianza Universidad vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2024 |
AUN
2 - 0
DAG
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 15 | 52 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 5
AUN
13%
21%
65%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AUN
3 - 1
FSM
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
PIR
1 - 2
AUN
12%
22%
66%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
JPC
1 - 1
AUN
16%
22%
62%
|
66 | 16 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
AUR
0 - 3
LLA
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FSM
3 - 0
AUR
14%
19%
67%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 2
COM
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 0
AUN
23%
26%
50%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
AYA
2 - 1
AUR
38%
25%
38%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |