Alianza Universidad vs Carlos Stein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
AUN
31%
26%
44%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
AUN
3 - 1
PIR
58%
22%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AUN
4 - 2
ALF
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GAR
2 - 1
AUN
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AUN
1 - 1
COM
23%
27%
51%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Carlos Stein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
FCS
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 3
BIN
25%
25%
51%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
CIE
6 - 2
FCS
77%
16%
8%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 4
MUN
33%
25%
43%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 0
FCS
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |