Alianza Universidad vs Defensor San Alejandro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ACR
1 - 2
AUN
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
AUN
1 - 1
SBO
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
LOS
3 - 0
AUN
43%
29%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
AUN
1 - 0
LOS
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 1
AUN
27%
28%
46%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor San Alejandro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 1
SPO
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 2
DEF
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ACR
1 - 1
DEF
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 5
SBO
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
LOS
1 - 0
DEF
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |