Alianza Universidad vs CA Mannucci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LOS
2 - 1
AUN
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
AUN
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AUN
2 - 2
COM
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 0
AUN
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AUN
0 - 2
ATL
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
CA Mannucci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 1
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 0
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 0
ATL
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 2
MAN
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 1
LOS
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |