Alianza FC vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
ALI
64%
23%
14%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
ALI
0 - 2
MIL
31%
27%
41%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALI
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 0
CAL
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 1
CUC
36%
25%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
RSC
1 - 1
FOR
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 0
RSC
59%
24%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
RSC
0 - 1
QUI
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
BUC
5 - 1
RSC
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
RSC
1 - 1
AFC
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |