Alianza FC vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
52.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 1
ENV
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
IND
2 - 2
ALI
78%
16%
7%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 3
SFE
15%
26%
60%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 0
ALI
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 2
AME
16%
23%
61%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
EQU
0 - 1
ONC
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
EQU
1 - 2
TOL
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 1
EQU
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
EQU
0 - 0
GRE
21%
25%
53%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
LAN
4 - 1
EQU
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |