Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GAR
2 - 1
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 2
HUA
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
COM
0 - 2
ALI
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 2
MUN
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 0
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
UTC
3 - 0
AUR
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
GAR
1 - 4
UTC
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
UTC
1 - 0
MUN
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
UTC
2 - 1
UNI
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
HUA
2 - 1
UTC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |