Alianza Lima vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
RIV
3 - 0
ALI
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
GAR
2 - 1
ALI
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
3 - 0
ALI
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 2
UTC
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
AYA
2 - 0
ALI
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
BIN
4 - 2
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
AUN
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 1
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 3
UNI
40%
26%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |