Alianza Lima vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
22.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
BOL
1 - 2
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
40%
29%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 1
ALI
26%
28%
47%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ALI
1 - 0
CIE
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
GAL
0 - 2
ALI
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
VEL
4 - 3
UNI
68%
21%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
SAM
1 - 0
UNI
51%
26%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 1
VEL
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
UNI
3 - 0
SBO
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |