Alianza Lima vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
19.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
ALI
0 - 1
SBO
57%
25%
19%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
CDE
0 - 2
ALI
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 1
SAM
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
WAN
3 - 2
ALI
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 1
UNI
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
SPC
4 - 2
UNI
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALI
39%
28%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 0
UNI
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 1
VAL
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
CAU
1 - 0
UNI
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |