Alianza Lima vs Universitario Deportes analysis

Alianza Lima Universitario Deportes
74 ELO 78
-0.7% Tilt -0.5%
729º General ELO ranking 719º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
51.1%
Alianza Lima
22%
Draw
27%
Universitario Deportes

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
Alianza Lima
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27%
Win probability
Universitario Deportes
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alianza Lima
+12%
+18%
Universitario Deportes

ELO progression

Alianza Lima
Universitario Deportes
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 1978
ALI
Alianza Lima
1 - 4
Deportivo Cali
CAL
60%
21%
20%
76 78 2 0
05 Oct. 1978
CCP
Cerro Porteño
3 - 1
Alianza Lima
ALI
54%
21%
25%
76 76 0 0
21 Sep. 1978
CAL
Deportivo Cali
3 - 2
Alianza Lima
ALI
57%
20%
23%
77 78 1 -1
14 Sep. 1978
ALI
Alianza Lima
3 - 0
Cerro Porteño
CCP
57%
20%
22%
76 76 0 +1
04 Aug. 1978
ALI
Alianza Lima
2 - 0
The Strongest
STR
67%
18%
16%
75 70 5 +1

Matches

Universitario Deportes
Universitario Deportes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jun. 1975
UNI
Universitario Deportes
1 - 1
Unión Española
UNI
66%
19%
16%
78 76 2 0
22 May. 1975
UNI
Universitario Deportes
2 - 1
Liga de Quito
LIG
54%
24%
23%
77 78 1 +1
16 May. 1975
UNI
Unión Española
2 - 1
Universitario Deportes
UNI
51%
22%
27%
78 74 4 -1
04 May. 1975
LIG
Liga de Quito
0 - 0
Universitario Deportes
UNI
61%
22%
18%
78 78 0 0
06 Apr. 1975
UNI
Universitario Deportes
3 - 2
Peñarol
PEÑ
56%
23%
21%
77 84 7 +1