Alianza Lima vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
ALI
1 - 4
CAL
60%
21%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1978 |
CCP
3 - 1
ALI
54%
21%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1978 |
CAL
3 - 2
ALI
57%
20%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1978 |
ALI
3 - 0
CCP
57%
20%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 1978 |
ALI
2 - 0
STR
67%
18%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1975 |
UNI
1 - 1
UNI
66%
19%
16%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1975 |
UNI
2 - 1
LIG
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1975 |
UNI
2 - 1
UNI
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
LIG
0 - 0
UNI
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
UNI
3 - 2
PEÑ
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |