Alianza Lima vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
19%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
ALI
3 - 0
LAR
53%
20%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1966 |
BOC
0 - 1
ALI
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
RIV
3 - 2
ALI
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1966 |
ALI
1 - 2
MIR
57%
20%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
ALI
0 - 2
RIV
37%
25%
39%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1966 |
BOC
2 - 0
UNI
73%
16%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
UNI
1 - 2
MIR
62%
18%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
UNI
1 - 0
LAR
58%
19%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
RIV
5 - 0
UNI
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1966 |
UNI
1 - 1
RIV
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |