Alianza Lima vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 5
ALI
37%
30%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
HUA
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 1
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
COM
1 - 2
ALI
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
4 - 2
SPC
36%
29%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 0
PAC
56%
26%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 3
VAL
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 2
MEL
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
GAR
2 - 2
VAL
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |