Alianza Lima vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 0
ALI
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 1
SPC
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 1
ALI
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
ALI
4 - 3
HUA
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALI
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
LEO
40%
27%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 0
COM
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
COM
3 - 0
HUA
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 1
COM
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
SAM
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |