Alianza Lima vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
20.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GAR
2 - 2
ALI
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
AYA
3 - 1
ALI
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ALI
2 - 1
LEO
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ALI
3 - 1
AUR
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 1
ALI
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
COM
2 - 1
VAL
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 0
COM
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
COM
0 - 1
UNI
38%
29%
34%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
SPC
2 - 0
COM
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
COM
0 - 1
GAR
30%
31%
39%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |