Alianza Lima vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SBO
0 - 4
ALI
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 2
LEO
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
GAR
3 - 0
ALI
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 2
VAL
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GAR
3 - 0
COM
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
COM
1 - 0
AUR
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
SBO
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 0
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
COM
1 - 1
MEL
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |