Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
50.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 0
ALI
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
26%
22%
52%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
CIE
1 - 1
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 3
SPC
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 1
ALI
45%
26%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 0
ALI
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
26%
22%
52%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 1
SBO
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 3
SPC
26%
24%
50%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 0
AYA
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |