Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 1
ALI
45%
26%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 0
UTC
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 3
ALI
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
MEL
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
GAR
0 - 2
ALI
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 0
AYA
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
BIN
3 - 4
SPC
15%
20%
65%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
CIE
2 - 1
SPC
23%
23%
54%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
AUN
1 - 2
SPC
9%
17%
74%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 3
MAN
71%
19%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |