Clausura Peru Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
COM
2 - 3
ALI
34%
27%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 1
HUA
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
BIN
0 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 1
AUN
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 3
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
BIN
4 - 1
SPC
41%
23%
36%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SPC
2 - 1
AUN
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 3
SPC
24%
25%
51%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 2
MAN
77%
16%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 1
SPC
18%
23%
59%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |