Clausura Peru Final
Global 1-7
Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
44.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 2
ALI
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 3
MEL
42%
28%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BIN
3 - 2
ALI
34%
31%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
ALI
35%
28%
38%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 1
HUA
56%
24%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SPC
1 - 2
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SRP
0 - 8
SPC
15%
24%
61%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SPC
4 - 0
BIN
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
HUA
1 - 1
SPC
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SPC
6 - 0
AYA
64%
21%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |