Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
COL
3 - 1
ALI
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
AYA
1 - 2
ALI
31%
28%
42%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 1
COM
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
SBO
0 - 1
ALI
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 0
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SPC
4 - 1
SRP
49%
26%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
UTC
0 - 3
SPC
37%
26%
38%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SPC
2 - 1
UCH
28%
23%
49%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SPC
2 - 0
COM
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 1
SPC
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |