Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
AYA
1 - 2
ALI
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 1
MEL
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 3
DEL
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
GAR
4 - 1
ALI
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SPC
0 - 0
GAR
41%
26%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 3
SPC
36%
25%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SPC
2 - 2
COM
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
HUA
2 - 1
SPC
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
COM
2 - 2
SPC
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |