Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 0
ALI
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 3
ALI
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 0
LEO
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 1
ALI
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SPC
5 - 1
AYA
70%
18%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
SPC
27%
25%
48%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 1
SPC
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SPC
0 - 3
GAR
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SPC
1 - 1
SAN
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |