Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 1
ALI
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
ALI
4 - 3
HUA
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALI
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 0
ALI
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 0
VAL
40%
28%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
SPC
4 - 0
LEO
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 2
SPC
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
SPC
6 - 0
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
AUR
3 - 4
SPC
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
SPC
0 - 0
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |