Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
GAR
0 - 0
ALI
62%
20%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
MEL
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 2
ALI
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
UTC
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 4
AYA
49%
26%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
SPC
1 - 0
AUR
66%
20%
15%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 0
SPC
32%
27%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SPC
2 - 2
HUA
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 3
SPC
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 0
SPC
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |