Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
ALI
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 0
ALI
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CIE
3 - 2
ALI
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
AYA
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SPC
2 - 0
AYA
60%
22%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
SPC
2 - 2
HUA
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 2
SPC
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
SPC
2 - 0
COM
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 3
SPC
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |