Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 1
ALI
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 0
CIE
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ALI
0 - 1
UNI
42%
29%
30%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 3
GAL
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 1
ALI
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SPC
5 - 0
BOL
73%
18%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 0
SPC
52%
26%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SPC
2 - 2
AYA
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 3
SPC
43%
29%
29%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SPC
0 - 2
CIE
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |