Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
26.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
CIE
3 - 2
ALI
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 1
UNI
40%
30%
30%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2008 |
ALI
2 - 1
VAL
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
AUR
1 - 2
ALI
50%
28%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
ALI
3 - 0
GAL
51%
28%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
SPC
3 - 1
ALI
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
ATL
3 - 1
SPC
42%
29%
28%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2008 |
SPC
1 - 2
UNI
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
SPC
1 - 1
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 2
SPC
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |