Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
CIE
2 - 1
ALI
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
52%
27%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 1
ALI
22%
28%
51%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
ALI
3 - 1
SAM
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
MEL
3 - 2
ALI
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
SPC
0 - 1
SBO
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 1
SPC
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
SPC
1 - 2
BOL
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
SPC
0 - 1
UNI
66%
21%
14%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
CIE
2 - 1
SPC
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |