Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 1
ALI
26%
28%
47%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ALI
1 - 0
CIE
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
GAL
0 - 2
ALI
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ALI
2 - 0
ALI
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
SAM
1 - 1
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
SPC
2 - 1
BOL
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
SPC
3 - 1
BOL
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
SPC
3 - 1
UNI
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
EST
4 - 3
SPC
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 1
SPC
25%
28%
48%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |