Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
ALI
2 - 1
ALI
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
ALI
0 - 0
UNI
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
AGU
1 - 0
ALI
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
ALI
2 - 0
SBO
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALI
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
SPC
4 - 0
MEL
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
UNI
0 - 1
SPC
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
SPC
1 - 0
CIE
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
UNI
0 - 1
SPC
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |