Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
ALI
3 - 0
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 2
ALI
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 1
VAL
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CAU
0 - 0
ALI
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
ALI
0 - 0
CIE
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
SPC
1 - 2
CAU
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ALI
4 - 3
SPC
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
SPC
1 - 2
CIE
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
VAL
1 - 0
SPC
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
SBO
2 - 2
SPC
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |