Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
ALI
2 - 1
BOL
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ALI
5 - 0
CAU
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
CDE
0 - 0
ALI
32%
27%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
ALI
1 - 0
CIE
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
SBO
1 - 3
ALI
40%
27%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
SPC
3 - 1
MEL
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
SPC
1 - 1
UNI
76%
16%
9%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
UNI
0 - 0
SPC
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SPC
3 - 0
CAU
77%
15%
9%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
CDE
1 - 2
SPC
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |