Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1995 |
MIL
2 - 0
ALI
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
ALI
1 - 1
MIL
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1995 |
ALI
1 - 1
BOL
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1995 |
ALI
6 - 1
JWI
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1995 |
ALI
1 - 1
SPC
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1996 |
RIV
5 - 2
SPC
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1996 |
SPC
2 - 1
RIV
36%
25%
40%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
DEF
0 - 0
SPC
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
SPC
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
UNI
1 - 2
SPC
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |