Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1976 |
ALI
2 - 0
LIG
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1976 |
CRZ
7 - 1
ALI
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1976 |
ALI
0 - 4
CRZ
24%
27%
49%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1976 |
LIG
2 - 1
ALI
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
ALI
2 - 1
MIL
57%
21%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1974 |
SPC
2 - 1
UCO
58%
21%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
SPC
1 - 3
NAC
52%
22%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1974 |
SPC
0 - 2
DEF
82%
11%
6%
|
74 | 33 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
NAC
3 - 0
SPC
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
UCO
0 - 0
SPC
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |