Alianza Lima vs Cusco FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2015 |
HUA
1 - 1
ALI
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
LEO
51%
26%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 3
ALI
42%
28%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 1
AUR
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 1
ALI
45%
25%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2015 |
GAR
1 - 0
MEL
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CIE
1 - 1
GAR
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2015 |
GAR
3 - 2
AYA
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
UTC
2 - 3
GAR
25%
28%
47%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 0
GAR
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |