Alianza Lima vs Necaxa analysis

Alianza Lima Necaxa
76 ELO 79
-14% Tilt -10.4%
732º General ELO ranking 514º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
39%
Alianza Lima
26.4%
Draw
34.7%
Necaxa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
Alianza Lima
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.7%
Win probability
Necaxa
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Alianza Lima
Necaxa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2007
SPC
Sporting Cristal
1 - 1
Alianza Lima
ALI
56%
24%
21%
77 77 0 0
14 Feb. 2007
ALI
Alianza Lima
4 - 1
Univ. San Martín
SAM
47%
28%
25%
76 73 3 +1
11 Feb. 2007
MEL
FBC Melgar
2 - 1
Alianza Lima
ALI
38%
28%
35%
77 66 11 -1
04 Feb. 2007
ALI
Alianza Lima
2 - 2
Sport Boys Association
SBO
57%
25%
18%
77 65 12 0
17 Dec. 2006
ALI
Alianza Lima
1 - 2
Sport Boys Association
SBO
59%
25%
16%
78 64 14 -1

Matches

Necaxa
Necaxa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2007
MON
Monterrey
2 - 2
Necaxa
NEC
54%
24%
23%
78 82 4 0
15 Feb. 2007
NEC
Necaxa
0 - 2
Cruz Azul
CAZ
35%
26%
38%
79 83 4 -1
11 Feb. 2007
PAC
Pachuca
1 - 1
Necaxa
NEC
57%
23%
20%
78 84 6 +1
04 Feb. 2007
NEC
Necaxa
1 - 0
Santos Laguna
SAN
45%
26%
29%
78 77 1 0
28 Jan. 2007
TOL
Toluca
1 - 1
Necaxa
NEC
57%
23%
21%
78 84 6 0