Alianza Lima vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ADT
3 - 0
ALI
44%
28%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
ALI
1 - 1
IQU
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ALI
2 - 0
AYA
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
IQU
1 - 2
ALI
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
SPC
1 - 2
ALI
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
LIB
1 - 1
2DE
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
JLM
0 - 5
LIB
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
LIB
2 - 1
OLI
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
SPT
1 - 1
LIB
35%
27%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
LIB
3 - 0
LQE
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |