Alianza Lima vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 1
ALI
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 1
MUN
68%
21%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 0
VAL
60%
24%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
ALI
3 - 0
MAN
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 0
ALI
81%
14%
6%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 0
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 2
LIB
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 1
SPT
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
TAC
3 - 0
LIB
20%
25%
55%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 2
ATP
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |