Alianza Lima vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 1
HUA
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 2
VAS
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 0
ALI
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
ALI
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 2
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
IND
72%
19%
9%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 1
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CER
0 - 2
LIB
25%
29%
46%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 0
LIB
63%
22%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |