Alianza Lima vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
25.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 1
ALI
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
HUA
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SAM
1 - 0
ALI
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 1
VAL
46%
27%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
GAL
2 - 2
ALI
35%
27%
37%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 3
AGU
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 2
LEO
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
AGU
3 - 0
AUR
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
AUR
6 - 1
CIE
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
HUA
2 - 1
AUR
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |