Alianza Lima vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
23%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
49%
25%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
CIE
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
SAM
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
AYA
3 - 0
ALI
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 1
MEL
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AYA
2 - 0
AUR
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 1
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
SCI
18%
22%
60%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SAM
5 - 1
AUR
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |