Alianza Lima vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
GAL
0 - 1
ALI
25%
27%
49%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
ALI
4 - 1
CNI
63%
22%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
UNI
0 - 1
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 1
MEL
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 1
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
AUR
5 - 2
CIE
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
TOT
1 - 2
AUR
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 1
AUR
53%
25%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 0
HUA
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
SBO
1 - 0
AUR
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |