Alianza Lima vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
55%
24%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPO
53%
26%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
UNA
0 - 3
ALI
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 1
AYA
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
CNI
1 - 2
ALI
42%
29%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 2
GAL
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
AYA
2 - 2
AUR
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
AUR
2 - 1
VAL
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 3
AUR
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AUR
3 - 0
GAL
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |