Alianza Lima vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
25.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
GAL
1 - 1
ALI
38%
29%
33%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2008 |
VAL
2 - 3
ALI
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2008 |
ALI
0 - 0
MEL
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ALI
0 - 1
ALI
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
ALI
0 - 1
BOL
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
AUR
1 - 0
CIE
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 0
AUR
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
AUR
3 - 0
SPO
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
SPC
1 - 1
AUR
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
SAM
1 - 1
AUR
52%
27%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |